We warn investors of recession signals in the resolved yield curve, questioning Biden officials' role in bond market effects.

The 2020 recession wasn’t part of the normal cycle. Going into that year, the economy had issues but was hardly overheated.

An inversion of the yield curve—a chart plotting returns on debt of various maturities—historically has been a sign that a recession is on the way.

TLTW has outperformed TLT, losing only 2% compared to TLT's 4.4% decline, thanks to its covered call strategy. Read why I ...

We can see the economy racing toward this gaping hole in the yield curves. The first chart below goes all the way back to the 1981-1982 recession, showing many selected yield curves. Notice the steady ...

The yield curve has long been a closely watched indicator of economic health. When the yield curve inverts, meaning short-term interest rates ...

An inverted yield curve has historically been the most reliable recession indicator, though hardly an infallible one. Overreacting to any recession signal could be costly: economic expansions ...

This may explain why a recession has not materialized thus far, even though the yield curve has been inverted ... below their long-term averages (see chart below). One explanation is credit ...

Stock market concentration and overvaluation … bond market craziness … the yield curve normalizes … are consumers healthy? … ...