The U.S. 2-/10-year slope inverted in mid-2022, and we are still waiting for the recession that was allegedly predicted by the yield curve. For those of us who are not yield curve maximalists ...

The yield curve has long been a closely watched indicator of economic health. When the yield curve inverts, meaning short-term interest rates ...

When a yield curve is inverted, investors expect economic growth to slow – around the time a boom comes to an end and a recession begins. At this time the market may see a long period of decline ...

The steepening of the yield curve is a tailwind to ... higher nominal yields across the curve and controlled inflation without a recession. He said that strong earnings expectations remain a ...

By Davide Barbuscia NEW YORK (Reuters) -Recession concerns are showing up more prominently in the U.S. Treasury yield curve, as soaring commodity prices in the wake of Russia’s invasion of ...

Stock market concentration and overvaluation … bond market craziness … the yield curve normalizes … are consumers healthy? … ...

Canada’s unemployment rate rose to 6.9% in December, now up 210 basis points (bps) from the 4.8% low in June 2022 (below in ...

Yield curves and recession. Source: Steve Sosnick According to the data ... The problem – to market returns and jobs – is not when these spreads turn negative (invert), but when they dis-invert (turn ...